Bubble Tracker

Updates

Quick changelog of what’s new in Bubble Tracker.

Added

Iran/Hormuz oil shock scenario analysis

Added three-scenario oil-price stress test (baseline $110, moderate $125, extreme $150 Brent) with component-level CPI pass-through forecasts calibrated to Fed Board (2023) elasticities and distributed lags. Brent paths, TPI overlays, and full methodology on the TPI page.

Added

TPI forecast with historical oil-event overlays

Extended the Transmission Price Index chart with a 12-month composite forecast and annotated historical oil shocks (1973 OPEC embargo, 1979 Iran revolution, 1990 Gulf War, 2022 Russia/Ukraine). Scenario lines bridge smoothly from the forecast path.

Added

Transmission Price Index (TW-PDI) page

Launched the full TPI dashboard: five-block inflation pressure decomposition (trend core, housing pipeline, goods/energy, services, money), composite index, and 12-month forecast with mean-reversion damping.

Added

U.S. inflation dashboard

Added the U.S. inflation dashboard with CPI decomposition (headline, core, shelter), M2 money supply, Fed balance sheet, home price index, and equity valuations on synced interactive charts. Data from BLS and FRED.

Added

Full-text search across all content

Added Fuse.js-powered search across learn articles, research papers, news, and glossary entries. Accessible from the navbar search bar.

Added

Citations panel, sitemap & gated data requests

Added a Citations/Sources panel with copy-to-clipboard, improved sitemap/robots for SEO, and replaced CSV buttons with a request modal.

Added

Added Updates page; renamed News → Econ and AI News

Introduced a simple changelog page and updated navigation wording for clarity.

Fixed

Locale and CSR hook stability

Stabilized Suspense boundaries and locale switcher behavior for CSR hooks.

Changed

Chart defaults tuned

Enabled range slider + markers by default; improved bubble overlays.